J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Kecmanovic — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - 1/8-finals · July 15, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) at 1.90 in J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Kecmanovic (Gstaad on 2026-07-15). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds J. M. Cerundolo 2.00 · M. Kecmanovic 1.83

Bot bet

J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) @ 1.90 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. M. Cerundolo · M. Kecmanovic · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. M. Cerundolo M. Kecmanovic
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
57.7% 42.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
55.3% 44.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
70.0% 30.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
57.2% 42.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
47.8% 52.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. M. Cerundolo clay1841 205–111316
M. Kecmanovic clay1748 45–4085

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

J. M. Cerundolo leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Nov. 1, 2026ParishardJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1
July 16, 2026GstaadclayJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1

Recent form

J. M. Cerundolo

L A. Michelsen 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
W E. Ymer 0 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
L C. Ruud 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026
W M. Kecmanovic 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W A. Kovacevic 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026

M. Kecmanovic

L H. Rune 1 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W A. Rinderknech 1 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
L J. M. Cerundolo 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W J. Duckworth 1 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
L R. Hijikata 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026

All July 15, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →