J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Kecmanovic — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - 1/8-finals · July 15, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) at 1.90 in J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Kecmanovic (Gstaad on 2026-07-15). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds J. M. Cerundolo 2.00 · M. Kecmanovic 1.83

Bot bet

J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) @ 1.90 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. M. Cerundolo · M. Kecmanovic · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. M. Cerundolo M. Kecmanovic
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
57.7% 42.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
55.3% 44.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
70.0% 30.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
57.2% 42.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
47.8% 52.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. M. Cerundolo clay1841 205–111316
M. Kecmanovic clay1748 45–4085

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

J. M. Cerundolo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 16, 2026GstaadclayJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1

Recent form

J. M. Cerundolo

L A. Gea 2 - 3 Sept. 1, 2026
L I. Buse 1 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
W S. Baez 1 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W D. Suresh 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
L F. Auger-Aliassime 0 - 2 Aug. 18, 2026

M. Kecmanovic

L D. Shapovalov 1 - 3 Aug. 30, 2026
L F. Marozsan 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W S. Shimabukuro 0 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026
L F. Cobolli 1 - 2 Aug. 15, 2026
W C. Ugo Carabelli 0 - 2 Aug. 13, 2026

All July 15, 2026 results & picks →

32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →