R. Collignon vs J. M. Cerundolo — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - Semi-finals · July 18, 2026 · 11:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) at 2.18 in R. Collignon vs J. M. Cerundolo (Gstaad on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds R. Collignon 1.69 · J. M. Cerundolo 2.18

Bot bet

J. M. Cerundolo (moneyline) @ 2.18 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: R. Collignon · J. M. Cerundolo · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method R. Collignon J. M. Cerundolo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.4% 52.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
37.5% 62.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
60.3% 39.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
50.8% 49.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
56.3% 43.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
R. Collignon clay1829 136–49185
J. M. Cerundolo clay1841 205–111316

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

J. M. Cerundolo leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 18, 2026GstaadclayR. Collignon2 - 1
June 22, 2026EastbournegrassJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1
May 17, 2026BordeauxclayJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1
July 10, 2025BraunschweigclayJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1

Recent form

R. Collignon

L S. Gorzny 3 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L R. Hijikata 1 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026
L M. Navone 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026
L A. Popyrin 0 - 2 Aug. 5, 2026
L D. Altmaier 2 - 0 July 21, 2026

J. M. Cerundolo

L A. Gea 2 - 3 Sept. 1, 2026
L I. Buse 1 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
W S. Baez 1 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W D. Suresh 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
L F. Auger-Aliassime 0 - 2 Aug. 18, 2026

All July 18, 2026 results & picks →

32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →