A. Shevchenko vs S. Tsitsipas — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - Semi-finals · July 18, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Shevchenko (moneyline) at 4.24 in A. Shevchenko vs S. Tsitsipas (Gstaad on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds A. Shevchenko 4.24 · S. Tsitsipas 1.26

Bot bet

A. Shevchenko (moneyline) @ 4.24 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Shevchenko · S. Tsitsipas · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Shevchenko S. Tsitsipas
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
31.4% 68.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
41.2% 58.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
62.0% 38.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
38.7% 61.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
22.9% 77.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Shevchenko clay1703 127–87214
S. Tsitsipas clay1873 74–29103

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 18, 2026GstaadclayS. Tsitsipas2 - 1
Dec. 30, 2024United CuphardA. Shevchenko2 - 0

Recent form

A. Shevchenko

L D. Prizmic 3 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L B. Van De Zandschulp 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
L C. O'Connell 0 - 2 Aug. 13, 2026
W P. Llamas Ruiz 2 - 0 Aug. 11, 2026
L K. Jacquet 1 - 2 Aug. 1, 2026

S. Tsitsipas

L B. Shelton 3 - 0 Sept. 6, 2026
W J. Lehecka 1 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W L. Harris 1 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Fils 3 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L A. Kovacevic 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026

All July 18, 2026 results & picks →

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