TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Vives Marcos vs A. Moro Canas (Monastir on 2026-11-13) — the market is efficient, with A. Moro Canas favoured at 1.38.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Vives Marcos | A. Moro Canas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.3% | 70.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
14.9% | 85.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.0% | 72.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Vives Marcos | hard | 1558 | 35–27 | 62 |
| A. Moro Canas | hard | 1661 | 105–60 | 165 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
A. Moro Canas leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2026 | M25 Zaragoza | clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 4, 2026 | Porto 2 | clay | P. Vives Marcos | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 21, 2025 | M25 Santander | clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Clarke | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Dhamne | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kelm | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Nagoudi | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Dougaz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | K. Rahmani | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | W. Abderrahman | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Echeverria | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →