TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Stearns vs E. Appleton (Eastbourne on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with P. Stearns favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Stearns | E. Appleton |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.0% | 59.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
79.2% | 20.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stearns | hard | 1745 | 97–74 | 171 |
| E. Appleton | hard | 1484 | 70–67 | 137 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
P. Stearns leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | P. Stearns | 2 - 0 |
| L | G. Ruse | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | E. Griffiths | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | B. Black | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Kuzmova | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | O. Dodin | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | I. Spink | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used