TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Tararudee vs V. Erjavec (Eastbourne on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with L. Tararudee favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Tararudee | V. Erjavec |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.5% | 22.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.7% | 42.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1846 | 152–75 | 227 |
| V. Erjavec | clay | 1662 | 143–85 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
V. Erjavec leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | V. Erjavec | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 4, 2025 | Changsha | clay | V. Erjavec | 2 - 1 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Kovackova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | G. Feistel | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Bosio | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used