TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Boscardin Dias vs A. Galarneau (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with P. Boscardin Dias favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Boscardin Dias | A. Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.8% | 34.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Boscardin Dias | clay | 1565 | 174–139 | 313 |
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1616 | 151–116 | 267 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
A. Galarneau leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | K. Coppejans | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Michalski | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Zink | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Uchida | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used