TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Kalinina (moneyline) at 2.30 in P. Badosa vs A. Kalinina (Iasi on 2026-07-14). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Badosa | A. Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.5% | 21.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.8% | 41.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Badosa | clay | 1835 | 53–28 | 81 |
| A. Kalinina | clay | 1815 | 91–47 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
P. Badosa leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 | Iasi | clay | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 1 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 1 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
All July 14, 2026 results & picks →