TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Kawa (moneyline) at 3.00 in K. Kawa vs S. Waltert (Iasi on 2026-07-14). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | S. Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kawa | clay | 1662 | 106–68 | 174 |
| S. Waltert | clay | 1733 | 125–81 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
K. Kawa leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14, 2026 | Iasi | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| July 6, 2026 | Bastad | clay | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 |
| April 14, 2026 | Oeiras | clay | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 4, 2020 | W25 Nonthaburi 2 | hard | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 17, 2019 | Szekesfehervar | clay | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Rajeshwaran Revathi | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 1 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All July 14, 2026 results & picks →