TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Zakharova (moneyline) at 9.20 in N. Osaka vs A. Zakharova (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Osaka | A. Zakharova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
78.3% | 21.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.7% | 33.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
67.2% | 32.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
74.8% | 25.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
85.1% | 14.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Osaka | hard | 1955 | 91–41 | 132 |
| A. Zakharova | hard | 1699 | 179–101 | 280 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 29, 2026.
N. Osaka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 1, 2026 | US Open | hard | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Pohankova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 2 - 1 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | L. Stefanini | 1 - 0 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | V. Adkar | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | P. Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →