TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 24.5 games at 1.96 in N. Djokovic vs H. Hurkacz (Shanghai on 2026-10-09). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Djokovic | H. Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.3% | 27.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.2% | 32.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.6% | 33.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.7% | 31.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2009 | 137–33 | 170 |
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1884 | 145–90 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
N. Djokovic leads 6–1 over 7 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 9, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 |
| May 24, 2025 | Geneva | clay | N. Djokovic | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 16, 2023 | ATP Finals - Turin | hard | N. Djokovic | 2 - 1 |
| July 10, 2023 | ATP Wimbledon | grass | N. Djokovic | 3 - 1 |
| March 2, 2023 | ATP Dubai | hard | N. Djokovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
All Oct. 9, 2026 results & picks →