TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Frech (moneyline) at 2.50 in N. Bartunkova vs M. Frech (Beijing on 2026-10-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | M. Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.9% | 36.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.3% | 41.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | hard | 1836 | 79–43 | 122 |
| M. Frech | hard | 1741 | 129–106 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 27, 2026.
N. Bartunkova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2026 | Beijing | hard | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 13, 2025 | Guadalajara | hard | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | L. Tagger | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 0 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 1 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →