L. Fruhvirtova vs L. Samsonova — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · · Oct. 2, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 19.5 games at 2.12 in L. Fruhvirtova vs L. Samsonova (Beijing on 2026-10-02). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds L. Fruhvirtova 3.76 · L. Samsonova 1.27

Bot bet

Under 19.5 games @ 2.12 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: L. Fruhvirtova · L. Samsonova · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method L. Fruhvirtova L. Samsonova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
22.5% 77.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
14.9% 85.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
34.9% 65.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
24.1% 75.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
25.2% 74.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
L. Fruhvirtova hard1586 102–91193
L. Samsonova hard1738 38–4179

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

L. Samsonova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 2, 2026BeijinghardL. Samsonova2 - 1

Recent form

L. Fruhvirtova

L W. Falkowska 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L M. Yamaguchi 1 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
L A. Sasnovich 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026
W M. Sawangkaew 0 - 1 Oct. 6, 2026
L L. Samsonova 1 - 2 Oct. 2, 2026

L. Samsonova

L A. Shubladze 2 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Watson 1 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
L L. Tagger 2 - 0 Oct. 19, 2026
L E. Svitolina 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026
W K. Siniakova 1 - 2 Oct. 13, 2026

All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →

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