TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Charaeva (moneyline) at 3.10 in N. Bartunkova vs A. Charaeva (Cincinnati on 2026-08-14). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.5% | 43.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.5% | 30.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | hard | 1791 | 74–40 | 114 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1627 | 77–56 | 133 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 5, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 |
| April 21, 2026 | Madrid | clay | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 1 - 2 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| L | S. Bandecchi | 0 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | Walk Over | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | R. Marino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All Aug. 14, 2026 results & picks →