TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Charaeva (moneyline) at 3.10 in N. Bartunkova vs A. Charaeva (Cincinnati on 2026-08-14). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.5% | 43.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.5% | 30.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | hard | 1836 | 79–43 | 122 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1723 | 88–62 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 27, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 |
| April 21, 2026 | Madrid | clay | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | L. Tagger | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | N. Noha Akugue | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
All Aug. 14, 2026 results & picks →