TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Gibson (moneyline) at 2.36 in L. Tagger vs T. Gibson (Cincinnati on 2026-08-14). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Tagger | T. Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.9% | 74.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.2% | 51.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.3% | 39.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
T. Gibson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | T. Gibson | 2 - 1 |
| L | H. Dart | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Quevedo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | H. Shi | 2 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
All Aug. 14, 2026 results & picks →