TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Zheng vs S. Travaglia (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with S. Travaglia favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Zheng | S. Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.9% | 73.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Zheng | hard | 1772 | 67–35 | 102 |
| S. Travaglia | clay | 1612 | 128–103 | 231 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
M. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Krumich | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used