TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Kinoshita (moneyline) at 3.20 in M. Uchijima vs H. Kinoshita (Vancouver on 2026-07-29). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Uchijima | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.6% | 32.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1590 | 143–111 | 254 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1549 | 82–64 | 146 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 26, 2026.
M. Uchijima leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 29, 2026 | Vancouver | hard | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Havlickova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | R. X. Wu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 2 - 0 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | C. Brace | 0 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | V. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| L | O. Dodin | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | R. Munk Mortensen | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
All July 29, 2026 results & picks →