TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Kinoshita (moneyline) at 3.20 in M. Uchijima vs H. Kinoshita (Vancouver on 2026-07-29). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Uchijima | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.6% | 32.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1554 | 146–119 | 265 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1527 | 84–69 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
M. Uchijima leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 29, 2026 | Vancouver | hard | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| L | K. Ito | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | H. Abe | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | S. Hosogi | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All July 29, 2026 results & picks →