TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Timofeeva vs Y. Kabbaj (Makarska on 2026-06-05) — the market is efficient, with M. Timofeeva favoured at 1.15.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Timofeeva | Y. Kabbaj |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
80.8% | 19.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.9% | 60.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.2% | 19.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1616 | 92–61 | 153 |
| Y. Kabbaj | clay | 1481 | 64–48 | 112 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 5, 2026 | Makarska | clay | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Lemaitre | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Gorgodze | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Chiesa | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Perelygina | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used