TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Palicova vs E. Avanesyan (Makarska on 2026-06-05) — the market is efficient, with E. Avanesyan favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Palicova | E. Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.5% | 71.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.2% | 85.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.4% | 64.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.3% | 70.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Palicova | clay | 1518 | 95–80 | 175 |
| E. Avanesyan | clay | 1724 | 112–63 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
E. Avanesyan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 5, 2026 | Makarska | clay | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | N. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Tsygourova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Parcelli | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used