TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sherif vs M. Trevisan (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sherif | M. Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.4% | 24.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
| M. Trevisan | clay | 1608 | 75–57 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 22, 2022 | Cleveland | hard | M. Trevisan | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | N. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Pace | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. R. Bertea | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used