TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 22.0 games at 1.95 in M. Sakkari vs R. Montgomery (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | R. Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.2% | 38.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.2% | 49.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.2% | 38.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.6% | 46.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1838 | 114–82 | 196 |
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1658 | 74–49 | 123 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
M. Sakkari leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 1, 2026 | US Open | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 |
| L | Y. Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | R. Montgomery | 2 - 1 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 2 - 1 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Aug. 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Branstine | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →