TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 22.0 games at 1.95 in M. Sakkari vs R. Montgomery (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | R. Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.2% | 38.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.2% | 49.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.2% | 38.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.6% | 46.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1854 | 123–87 | 210 |
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1665 | 79–53 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 7, 2026.
M. Sakkari leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 1, 2026 | US Open | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | M. Rajeshwaran Revathi | 2 - 0 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigato | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →