TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Linette vs I. Swiatek (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with I. Swiatek favoured at 1.03.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Linette | I. Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
18.3% | 81.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
13.5% | 86.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.6% | 50.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
6.4% | 93.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Linette | hard | 1745 | 119–97 | 216 |
| I. Swiatek | hard | 2021 | 184–49 | 233 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
I. Swiatek leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| March 19, 2026 | Miami | hard | M. Linette | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 4, 2023 | WTA Beijing | hard | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Zhao | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | T. Townsend | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | May 31, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used