M. Hodzic vs N. Basiletti — Prediction & Analysis

Palermo · Palermo - 1/8-finals · July 23, 2026 · 09:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Basiletti -1.5 (game handicap) at 1.90 in M. Hodzic vs N. Basiletti (Palermo on 2026-07-23). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds M. Hodzic 2.10 · N. Basiletti 1.67

Bot bet

N. Basiletti -1.5 (game handicap) @ 1.90 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Hodzic · N. Basiletti · head-to-head record · Palermo

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Hodzic N. Basiletti
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
44.3% 55.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
37.4% 62.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
33.5% 66.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
44.3% 55.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
44.3% 55.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Hodzic clay1487 75–62137
N. Basiletti clay1603 38–3573

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 7, 2026.

Head to head

M. Hodzic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 23, 2026PalermoclayM. Hodzic2 - 1

Recent form

M. Hodzic

L A. Soboleva 1 - 2 Sept. 7, 2026
L B. Palicova 0 - 2 Aug. 29, 2026
W K. Zavatska 2 - 1 Aug. 28, 2026
W L. Hietaranta 0 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
W J. Pieri 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026

N. Basiletti

W L. Radivojevic 0 - 2 Sept. 14, 2026
W B. Palicova 1 - 2 Aug. 9, 2026
W K. L. Ebeling 0 - 2 Aug. 8, 2026
W M. Matoula 1 - 2 Aug. 7, 2026
W J. Lim 2 - 0 Aug. 5, 2026

All July 23, 2026 results & picks →

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