TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Basiletti -1.5 (game handicap) at 1.90 in M. Hodzic vs N. Basiletti (Palermo on 2026-07-23). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Hodzic | N. Basiletti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.4% | 62.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
33.5% | 66.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.3% | 55.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hodzic | clay | 1468 | 75–64 | 139 |
| N. Basiletti | clay | 1628 | 41–37 | 78 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 13, 2026.
M. Hodzic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | Palermo | clay | M. Hodzic | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Radivojevic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | I. M. Serban | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. S. Steur J. | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bai | 0 - 2 | Sept. 28, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | A-L. Friedsam | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 1 - 2 | Sept. 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
All July 23, 2026 results & picks →