TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Spiteri (moneyline) at 6.80 in D. Spiteri vs L. Bronzetti (Palermo on 2026-07-23). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Spiteri | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.1% | 80.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.1% | 76.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spiteri | clay | 1419 | 103–97 | 200 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1641 | 105–77 | 182 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 22, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | Palermo | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| W | I. Primorac | 2 - 0 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
| W | L. Boehner | 2 - 0 | Sept. 20, 2026 |
| L | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | M. E. Reasco Gonzalez | 2 - 1 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Mandlik | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | L. Giovannini | 2 - 1 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All July 23, 2026 results & picks →