TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Spiteri (moneyline) at 6.80 in D. Spiteri vs L. Bronzetti (Palermo on 2026-07-23). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Spiteri | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.1% | 80.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.1% | 76.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spiteri | clay | 1406 | 101–96 | 197 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1682 | 104–74 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | Palermo | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | M. E. Reasco Gonzalez | 2 - 1 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | L. Nguyen Tan | 2 - 1 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | T. Pieri | 0 - 1 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| L | L. Hrda | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 1 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | P. Iatcenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Giovannini | 0 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
All July 23, 2026 results & picks →