TennisEdge's AI bot is backing I. Buse (moneyline) at 1.84 in M. Giron vs I. Buse (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Giron | I. Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.4% | 71.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.3% | 48.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
I. Buse leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | I. Buse | 3 - 2 |
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | I. Buse | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | C. Chidekh | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Boulais | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Dietrich | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →