TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Dodig vs H. Dellien (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with H. Dellien favoured at 1.46.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Dodig | H. Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.9% | 72.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.5% | 78.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.5% | 70.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.6% | 65.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dodig | clay | 1644 | 103–65 | 168 |
| H. Dellien | clay | 1741 | 207–112 | 319 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
H. Dellien leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Trieste | clay | H. Dellien | 2 - 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 |
| W | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Opitz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | B. Bonzi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. C. Prado Angelo | 1 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | P. Martinez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Ribecai | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used