M. Bouzkova vs Q. Zheng — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · · Oct. 5, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Q. Zheng (moneyline) at 1.84 in M. Bouzkova vs Q. Zheng (Beijing on 2026-10-05). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds M. Bouzkova 2.25 · Q. Zheng 1.54

Bot bet

Q. Zheng (moneyline) @ 1.84 · 0.75u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bouzkova · Q. Zheng · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bouzkova Q. Zheng
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
37.7% 62.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
41.8% 58.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
38.1% 61.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
39.2% 60.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
40.6% 59.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bouzkova hard1810 137–92229
Q. Zheng hard2022 135–56191

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.

Head to head

Q. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 5, 2026BeijinghardQ. Zheng2 - 1

Recent form

M. Bouzkova

L L. Fernandez 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
W S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W A. Zakharova 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W K. Rakhimova 0 - 2 Oct. 19, 2026
L M. Chwalinska 1 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026

Q. Zheng

W M. Andreeva 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026
W E. Mertens 2 - 0 Oct. 10, 2026
W E. Svitolina 2 - 0 Oct. 9, 2026
W A. Charaeva 1 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026
W M. Bouzkova 1 - 2 Oct. 5, 2026

All Oct. 5, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →