TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bellucci vs Z. Svajda (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with M. Bellucci favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bellucci | Z. Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.1% | 46.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.9% | 47.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.8% | 47.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1722 | 152–98 | 250 |
| Z. Svajda | hard | 1741 | 147–102 | 249 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Kozlov | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Majchrzak | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used