TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bassols vs Ka. Pliskova (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with Ka. Pliskova favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bassols | Ka. Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
34.9% | 65.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.1% | 67.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.1% | 76.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bassols | hard | 1563 | 105–80 | 185 |
| Ka. Pliskova | hard | 1747 | 77–47 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
M. Bassols leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| W | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used