L. Jeanjean vs M. Bolkvadze — Prediction & Analysis

Samsun · Samsun - 1/16-finals · Oct. 6, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bolkvadze +3.5 (game handicap) at 2.34 in L. Jeanjean vs M. Bolkvadze (Samsun on 2026-10-06). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds L. Jeanjean 1.39 · M. Bolkvadze 2.90

Bot bet

M. Bolkvadze +3.5 (game handicap) @ 2.34 · 0.75u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: L. Jeanjean · M. Bolkvadze · head-to-head record · Samsun

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method L. Jeanjean M. Bolkvadze
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
59.2% 40.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
69.3% 30.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
56.8% 43.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
61.8% 38.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
67.6% 32.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
L. Jeanjean hard1622 98–71169
M. Bolkvadze hard1586 119–88207

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 7, 2026.

Head to head

M. Bolkvadze leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 7, 2026SamsunhardM. Bolkvadze2 - 0
Oct. 27, 2021W80 PoitiershardM. Bolkvadze2 - 0

Recent form

L. Jeanjean

L A. Tubello 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W C. Alves 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W L. Bronzetti 2 - 1 Nov. 2, 2026
L C. Monnet 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L M. Bolkvadze 0 - 2 Oct. 7, 2026

M. Bolkvadze

L V. Steiner 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
L H. Tan 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
W F. Jorge 2 - 0 Oct. 23, 2026
W B. Cengiz 1 - 2 Oct. 22, 2026
W N. Berecoechea 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026

All Oct. 6, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →