B. Andreescu vs A. Smith — Prediction & Analysis

Samsun · Samsun - 1/16-finals · Oct. 6, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Smith +5.5 (game handicap) at 2.18 in B. Andreescu vs A. Smith (Samsun on 2026-10-06). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds B. Andreescu 1.05 · A. Smith 5.10

Bot bet

A. Smith +5.5 (game handicap) @ 2.18 · 1.25u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: B. Andreescu · A. Smith · head-to-head record · Samsun

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method B. Andreescu A. Smith
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
76.9% 23.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
79.0% 21.0%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
70.7% 29.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
75.5% 24.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
82.9% 17.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
B. Andreescu hard1771 59–3897
A. Smith hard1472 43–58101

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 18, 2026.

Head to head

B. Andreescu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 6, 2026SamsunhardB. Andreescu2 - 0

Recent form

B. Andreescu

W M. Bassols 1 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W L. Pigossi 2 - 0 Nov. 11, 2026
W R. Masarova 2 - 1 Nov. 10, 2026
W A. Tubello 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026

A. Smith

L T. Maria 2 - 0 Oct. 14, 2026
L B. Andreescu 2 - 0 Oct. 6, 2026
W D. Jakupovic 2 - 0 Oct. 5, 2026
W A. Lachinova 1 - 2 Oct. 4, 2026
L W. Falkowska 2 - 0 Sept. 21, 2026

All Oct. 6, 2026 results & picks →

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