TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Carboni vs P. Henning (Hersonissos 3 on 2026-11-13) — the market is efficient, with P. Henning favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Carboni | P. Henning |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.2% | 63.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.5% | 61.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Carboni | hard | 1547 | 40–28 | 68 |
| P. Henning | hard | 1596 | 135–44 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
| W | I. Xilas | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | R. Bertola | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Reco | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | L. Raquillet | 1 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | L. Angelini | 0 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | C. Cretu | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | R. M. Papoe | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Caniato | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Hemery | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Popko | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →