AI match preview for F. Maestrelli vs S. Nagal (Hersonissos 3 on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. F. Maestrelli is the market favourite at 1.63.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Maestrelli | S. Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.7% | 45.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.6% | 25.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.4% | 43.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Maestrelli | hard | 1641 | 87–68 | 155 |
| S. Nagal | hard | 1568 | 52–57 | 109 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
S. Nagal leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 25, 2023 | Rome Challenger Men | clay | S. Nagal | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Loge | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | P. Makk | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | F. Forti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Geerts | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | K. Bennani | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | K. Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | H. Grenier | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | G. Kravchenko | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →