TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Volynets vs Y. Starodubtseva (Paris on 2026-05-15) — the market is efficient, with Y. Starodubtseva favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Volynets | Y. Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.9% | 17.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.1% | 55.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Volynets | hard | 1758 | 111–90 | 201 |
| Y. Starodubtseva | hard | 1636 | 69–53 | 122 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Paris | clay | Y. Starodubtseva | 2 - 1 |
| May 7, 2024 | WTA Rome | clay | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All May 15, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used