K. Muchova vs K. Boulter — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · WTA Beijing - 1/32-finals · Oct. 2, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 19.5 games at 1.70 in K. Muchova vs K. Boulter (Beijing on 2026-10-02). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds K. Muchova 1.10 · K. Boulter 5.30

Bot bet

Under 19.5 games @ 1.70 · 1.25u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: K. Muchova · K. Boulter · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method K. Muchova K. Boulter
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
82.7% 17.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
87.7% 12.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
53.7% 46.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
74.7% 25.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
82.8% 17.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
K. Muchova hard1994 112–48160
K. Boulter hard1780 109–76185

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.

Head to head

K. Muchova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 2, 2026BeijinghardK. Muchova2 - 0
Sept. 2, 2026US OpenhardK. Muchova2 - 0
March 21, 2026MiamihardK. Muchova2 - 0

Recent form

K. Muchova

L E. Svitolina 2 - 1 Nov. 11, 2026
L A. Sabalenka 2 - 0 Nov. 9, 2026
L D. Shnaider 0 - 2 Oct. 15, 2026
W C. McNally 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026
L N. Bartunkova 0 - 2 Oct. 8, 2026

K. Boulter

L C. Liu 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W V. Golubic 0 - 2 Nov. 2, 2026
L K. Siniakova 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
W A. Ruzic 2 - 1 Oct. 23, 2026
W V. Golubic 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026

All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →

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