TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Juvan vs G. Maristany (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with K. Juvan favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Juvan | G. Maristany |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.6% | 37.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.2% | 44.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.9% | 32.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Juvan | hard | 1654 | 60–50 | 110 |
| G. Maristany | clay | 1662 | 117–83 | 200 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 16, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | G. Maristany | 2 - 0 |
| June 8, 2023 | La Bisbal D'Emporda Challenger Women | clay | K. Juvan | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| L | G. Maristany | 0 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Siskova | 2 - 1 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 2 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 | May 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Lim | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Ruggeri | 2 - 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Mandlik | 2 - 0 | May 29, 2026 |
| W | M. A. Teixido Garcia | 2 - 0 | May 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Tikhonova | 2 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used