TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Paolini (moneyline) at 1.67 in J. Paolini vs D. Snigur (Beijing on 2026-10-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Paolini | D. Snigur |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.1% | 41.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paolini | hard | 1845 | 124–86 | 210 |
| D. Snigur | hard | 1703 | 181–100 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 27, 2026.
D. Snigur leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2026 | Beijing | hard | D. Snigur | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →