TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Rodionov (moneyline) at 8.00 in J. Mensik vs J. Rodionov (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Mensik | J. Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.2% | 22.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.0% | 22.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
76.8% | 23.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.1% | 17.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mensik | hard | 1872 | 128–63 | 191 |
| J. Rodionov | hard | 1718 | 144–100 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.
J. Mensik leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2026 | US Open | hard | J. Mensik | 3 - 1 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | P. Martinez | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 1 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →