TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Rodionov (moneyline) at 8.00 in J. Mensik vs J. Rodionov (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Mensik | J. Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.2% | 22.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.0% | 22.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
76.8% | 23.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.1% | 17.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mensik | hard | 1900 | 124–59 | 183 |
| J. Rodionov | hard | 1669 | 139–98 | 237 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 6, 2026.
J. Mensik leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2026 | US Open | hard | J. Mensik | 3 - 1 |
| L | L. Tien | 2 - 3 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Rodionov | 3 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| L | D. Masur | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Bobichon | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Mensik | 3 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 3 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →