TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Trungelliti +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.93 in J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Trungelliti (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-20). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. M. Cerundolo | M. Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.7% | 28.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.6% | 36.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. M. Cerundolo | clay | 1841 | 205–111 | 316 |
| M. Trungelliti | clay | 1724 | 161–88 | 249 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
M. Trungelliti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 1 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | D. Suresh | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Cuenin | 0 - 2 | Sept. 15, 2026 |
| L | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 3 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Shang | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
All July 20, 2026 results & picks →