TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Trungelliti +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.93 in J. M. Cerundolo vs M. Trungelliti (Kitzbuhel on 2026-07-20). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. M. Cerundolo | M. Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.7% | 28.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.6% | 53.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.6% | 36.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. M. Cerundolo | clay | 1841 | 205–111 | 316 |
| M. Trungelliti | clay | 1745 | 168–91 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
M. Trungelliti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 21, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Ritschard | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | C. A. Caniato | 2 - 1 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | F. Passaro | 1 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
All July 20, 2026 results & picks →