TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. J. Schwaerzler vs R. Safiullin (French Open on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with R. Safiullin favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. J. Schwaerzler | R. Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.7% | 71.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
24.2% | 75.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
40.1% | 59.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. J. Schwaerzler | clay | 1603 | 87–62 | 149 |
| R. Safiullin | hard | 1715 | 107–81 | 188 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Safiullin | 2 - 0 |
| April 9, 2026 | Madrid | clay | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Krumich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Mrva | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | F. Bondioli | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used