TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Grabher vs R. Sramkova (French Open on 2026-05-25) — the market is efficient, with R. Sramkova favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Grabher | R. Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.4% | 21.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.9% | 52.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.4% | 63.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Grabher | clay | 1666 | 159–94 | 253 |
| R. Sramkova | hard | 1703 | 89–75 | 164 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
J. Grabher leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Siskova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Wolff | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Primorac | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Perelygina | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Ansari | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
All May 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used