TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs R. Safiullin (French Open on 2026-05-25) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | R. Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.1% | 35.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.7% | 27.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
86.4% | 13.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ruud | hard | 1866 | 119–78 | 197 |
| R. Safiullin | hard | 1715 | 107–81 | 188 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Ruud | 3 - 2 |
| July 29, 2025 | Toronto | hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All May 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used