TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Fonseca vs N. Djokovic (French Open on 2026-05-29) — the market is efficient, with N. Djokovic favoured at 1.58.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Fonseca | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.4% | 65.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.9% | 76.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.2% | 70.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.9% | 60.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fonseca | hard | 1954 | 61–22 | 83 |
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2085 | 127–26 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 18, 2026.
J. Fonseca leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | French Open | clay | J. Fonseca | 3 - 2 |
| W | C. Moutet | 3 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 3 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | N. Kyrgios | 0 - 3 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | R. Safiullin | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | J. De Jong | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used