J. Faria vs Y. Wu — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 12, 2026 · 17:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Faria (moneyline) at 2.20 in J. Faria vs Y. Wu (Cincinnati on 2026-08-12). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds J. Faria 2.10 · Y. Wu 1.71

Bot bet

J. Faria (moneyline) @ 2.20 · 0.75u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Faria · Y. Wu · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Faria Y. Wu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
49.7% 50.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
64.0% 36.0%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
30.7% 69.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
47.1% 52.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
44.9% 55.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Faria hard1691 100–58158
Y. Wu hard1730 93–42135

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.

Head to head

J. Faria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 13, 2026CincinnatihardJ. Faria2 - 0

Recent form

J. Faria

L R. Hijikata 0 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
L M. Brunold 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
L F. Balshaw 1 - 2 Oct. 19, 2026
L A. Gea 2 - 1 Oct. 7, 2026
L J. Munar 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026

Y. Wu

L S. C. Hong 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L J. Cui 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W H. Matsuoka 0 - 2 Oct. 20, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 0 Oct. 9, 2026
W M. Zheng 2 - 0 Oct. 7, 2026

All Aug. 12, 2026 results & picks →

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