TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Faria (moneyline) at 2.20 in J. Faria vs Y. Wu (Cincinnati on 2026-08-12). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Faria | Y. Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.7% | 69.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.1% | 52.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.9% | 55.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
J. Faria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 13, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | J. Faria | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Brooksby | 3 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 2 - 1 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| W | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 3 - 0 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 2 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
All Aug. 12, 2026 results & picks →