TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Faria (moneyline) at 2.07 in J. Faria vs J. Brooksby (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Faria | J. Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.6% | 42.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
67.6% | 32.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.1% | 49.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Faria | hard | 1691 | 100–58 | 158 |
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1723 | 92–62 | 154 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
J. Faria leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 30, 2026 | US Open | hard | J. Faria | 3 - 2 |
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | J. Faria | 2 - 0 |
| May 25, 2025 | French Open | clay | J. Brooksby | 3 - 1 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | M. Brunold | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | F. Balshaw | 1 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | Oct. 7, 2026 |
| L | J. Munar | 2 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | B. N. Nakashima | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | Dar. Blanch | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | G. Debru | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | P. Maloney | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →