J. Duckworth vs Y. Wu — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · ATP US Open - 1/32-finals · Sept. 2, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Duckworth (moneyline) at 2.33 in J. Duckworth vs Y. Wu (US Open on 2026-09-02). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds J. Duckworth 2.22 · Y. Wu 1.69

Bot bet

J. Duckworth (moneyline) @ 2.33 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Duckworth · Y. Wu · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Duckworth Y. Wu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
53.2% 46.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
48.4% 51.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
52.4% 47.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
48.8% 51.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.2% 56.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Duckworth hard1721 197–131328
Y. Wu hard1764 91–39130

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.

Head to head

Y. Wu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 2, 2026US OpenhardY. Wu3 - 0

Recent form

J. Duckworth

L Y. Wu 0 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W M. Arnaldi 1 - 3 Aug. 31, 2026
W F. Marozsan 1 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
L A. Fery 0 - 1 Aug. 28, 2026
W L. Sonego 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026

Y. Wu

L C. Alcaraz 0 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W J. Duckworth 0 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Walton 3 - 0 Aug. 30, 2026
L F. Comesana 2 - 0 Aug. 23, 2026
L J. Faria 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026

All Sept. 2, 2026 results & picks →

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