TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Choinski vs Y. Wu (Eastbourne on 2026-06-20) — the market is efficient, with Y. Wu favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Choinski | Y. Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.1% | 49.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Choinski | clay | 1806 | 151–83 | 234 |
| Y. Wu | hard | 1769 | 88–36 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
J. Choinski leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 20, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. A. Gomez | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | F. Passaro | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | Y. Bu | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Langmo | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Marinkov | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | P. Maloney | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | S. Kozlov | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
All June 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used