TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Frech +4.5 (game handicap) at 2.10 in I. Jovic vs M. Frech (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Jovic | M. Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.0% | 37.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 23, 2026.
I. Jovic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 17, 2026 | Guadalajara | hard | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 7, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 0 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 1 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →