TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Frech +4.5 (game handicap) at 2.10 in I. Jovic vs M. Frech (US Open on 2026-08-30). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Jovic | M. Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.0% | 37.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 7, 2026.
I. Jovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| W | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| W | A. Ruzic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
All Aug. 30, 2026 results & picks →