TennisEdge's AI bot is backing I. Buse +2.0 (game handicap) at 2.04 in I. Buse vs Z. Bergs (Shanghai on 2026-10-10). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Buse | Z. Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.3% | 51.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.3% | 53.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.9% | 61.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 2, 2026 | Paris | hard | I. Buse | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 10, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All Oct. 10, 2026 results & picks →