T. A. Tirante vs R. Jodar — Prediction & Analysis

Shanghai · ATP Shanghai - 1/32-finals · Oct. 10, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 21.5 games at 2.16 in T. A. Tirante vs R. Jodar (Shanghai on 2026-10-10). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds T. A. Tirante 2.92 · R. Jodar 1.40

Bot bet

Under 21.5 games @ 2.16 · 1.25u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: T. A. Tirante · R. Jodar · head-to-head record · Shanghai

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method T. A. Tirante R. Jodar
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
30.1% 69.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
29.3% 70.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
46.4% 53.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
35.3% 64.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
32.4% 67.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
T. A. Tirante hard1747 63–49112
R. Jodar hard1932 81–29110

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.

Head to head

R. Jodar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 10, 2026ShanghaihardR. Jodar2 - 1

Recent form

T. A. Tirante

W A. Shevchenko 2 - 1 Nov. 12, 2026
W T. M. Etcheverry Walk Over Nov. 10, 2026
W J. Munar 2 - 0 Nov. 8, 2026
L J-L. Struff 1 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
L M. Bellucci 0 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026

R. Jodar

L C. Ruud 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
W A. Tabilo 0 - 2 Nov. 2, 2026
L V. Vacherot 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W A. Tabilo 0 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L A. Davidovich Fokina 2 - 1 Oct. 18, 2026

All Oct. 10, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →